Michael's Dispatches

Washington, D.C.: The beat goes on

11 Comments

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Yon-Genre Mind-dump: unedited

Am here by the White House now and just now hear a Huey helicopter flying. Who’s got the Huey?

I made most of these photos last night at Black Lives Matter Plaza by the White House. Practically nobody arrived here for inauguration. Mostly police, Secret Service, National Guard, journalists, and some “stars” who flamboyantly whisked around with great pretentiousness, pretending to try to slip in while practically wearing strobe lights.

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Now, as I write, I came back to Black Lives Matter Plaza. On the far end, notice the White House. Many people have messaged from across America, Thailand, Japan, Europe, asking if it’s true that the flag was taken down over the White House, indicating the White House has been taken over. No. The flag has been up the entire time. There has been no coup.

Many people have asked me what I think of people like Lin Wood, Sidney Powell, Q-anon or whatever that is, or the retired General McInerney who talked about Special Forces fighting CIA in Germany, and Special Forces stealing Pelosi’s laptop. Have you noticed that I never published any of that nonsense other than that Special Forces did not attack CIA in Germany? Complete bullshit. Please excuse my language — but that really is complete BS.

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My business is all about separating signal from noise. Sometimes this is amazingly easy. Other times, amazingly hard but doable. Other times, I never figure it out.

Seven hours before the Capital Attack, on 06 January 2021, I predicted 90% chance of violence. Likewise, I predicted similar just before the inauguration on 20 January. Both were accurate. After the inauguration came violence in Seattle and Portland. I also predicted — as did others — many months ago that if Trump loses ANTIFA and BLM will go against whoever is next. Watch. If my paradigm is accurate, this will be so. If not, I must adjust my paradigm.

Violence on the 6th and 20th of January was easy to predict for those who pay close attention. More a function of paying attention than of predictive brilliance. Many of the “predictions” that I got credit for in Iraq, Afghanistan, etc., were not actually predictions as much as just seeing the patterns earlier, and accepting the patterns no matter which picture they create. (I did not like that I saw Iraq in civil war, but this was what the fact pattern pointed to, and so I just said where the ball bounced not where I wanted it to bounce. I wanted roses and thank-yous from Iraqis. Got bullets and bombs.)

Here are some reasons I am so accurate over the years. This is partly how I think:

1) I work as if I have autism...travel around and talk with anyone. Look. See. Accept patterns as I can find them, not as I wish they should be, or as others tell me to see. (We see what we think we see...and so we’ve got to constantly fight that tendency.)

2) Constantly reworking my paradigms so that they become predictive. If your paradigm of how things are is always yielding bad predictions, you’ve got to rework the paradigm. Often, just tweaking the paradigm helps. Other times, you’ve got to toss out the entire paradigm. My paradigms on Lin Wood, etc., is that they were just creating hot air. But if they turned out to be accurate, I would adjust paradigm and keep adjusting until it became predictive.

3) Guard against Cognitive Dissonance: everyone is subject to making massive mistakes based on CD. Including me. Guard against CD as if your life depends on it. Because it does.

4) Guard against projection. Difficult, but doable.

5) Don’t be a mindreader. The moment I hear someone say to me, “You think...”... My estimation of their judgement and intelligence plummets. Nobody knows what I think. I don’t know what you think. But we can find patterns. We can create paradigms based on experience that are predictive, but ultimately we don’t really know what each other thinks and feels.

My current paradigm is proving highly predictive. There are “forces” that are working to cause us to fight each other to the point of civil war.

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When I use the word “forces,” this is a nebulous usage and not “Soros” per se, but tendencies, ideas, philosophies, and more, that predate any of our grandparents. Old writings from people like U.S. Grant, or even long before, are highly predictive. Everything we need to know about tomorrow was written by old people who have been gone for centuries.

The pattern is clear. If we do not work especially hard to create conditions for internal peace, we will end up in complex civil wars. And America is not in a vacuum. Tech giants are giants here, but in the larger context they are creating terrible conditions for their own futures. Ultimately, they, like all of us, depend on physical and other security to thrive. By creating conditions of war, our “bubbles burst.” A bigger hand, or just some random hand, that shatters the aquarium we think we rule. Beware of illusion — most of life is an illusion created by signs and flashes of light and singing voices and actors and actresses who themselves are puppets.

Everyone reading this was born into conditions that were set before we were conceived. It does not matter if you are reading this on 22 January 2021, or a thousand years from now in another galaxy. We do not live in a vacuum of space and time. People who understand this are manipulating conditions in our aquarium.

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There is always another truth. No matter who is in charge, the ants will keep doing ant-stuff. Wind and pollen continue to blow across borders. Information leaks faster than helium. Americans are too enabled to be shut down for more than short periods. We will develop new neural pathways and networks that are more resilient.

A big lesson of insurgency and counterinsurgency can be found in non-Newtonian materials. Non-Newtonian fluids instantly change viscosity when outside pressures are applied. Like ketchup. Imagine if water were non-Newtonian: If water became less viscous, we could not swim because we would sink. If water became more viscous, it might be like swimming in honey.

Likewise, as people keep getting pushed and pulled and pressured, viscosity is changing. Some people are easy to push around and this emboldens oppressors. Other people become thicker, create friction, and thus I wrote something years ago in Afghanistan about getting stuck in the mud.

Again, my apology for the complete unedited dispatch. Am leaving D.C. for Texas.

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  • This commment is unpublished.
    TimmyJ · 10 months ago
    How high or drunk were you when you wrote this?
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Guest #1 · 10 months ago
    Clearly the fat, loud Karen’s with the bullhorn all by themselves wearing a mask for a fake disease and getting all their directions on how to go through life from their phones are now the ones in charge.
    • This commment is unpublished.
      Minimalmed · 10 months ago
      Not really...they just think they are. Each group of useful idiots is already infiltrated and monitored. The members of Antifa will disappear when they have served their purpose and/or they too effectively turn their focus on those behind the scenes who are truly "in charge". Just ask Stalin....
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Robehr Collins · 10 months ago
    The tech giants depend on reliable infrastructure and we all know how the ruling class has neglected that aspect of the technology boom for many years . There has been little to no hardening of water , electric , rail , or highway infrastructure since I was a pup . It will not be pretty for those sheeples on the common grid . When the lights go out and the food trucks stop rolling the tide will then turn .
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Knuck · 10 months ago
    A perceptive observation without a political motive. Average Joe wants this shitshow spoon-fed to them. You are making people think. How dare you!
    What we are observing is orchestrated political theater. You nailed it. Another poorly executed propaganda fiasco
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Mr. Giggity · 10 months ago
    If one side works especially hard to create conditions for internal peace and the other side doesn't, won't the side working for peace get annihilated? I totally buy your conclusion that we're being driven to CW by someone (Chinese, Soros, the Rothschilds - who knows) but just like it takes two sides to fight it takes two to come together as well. If one side is busy calling the other "domestic terrorists" while also burning down cities, doesn't that make it sort of hard to come together and create conditions for peace?
    I don't have your experience or memories which is probably why I'm having trouble understanding you, but my position is that peace is pointless if I'm a slave. Peace is great, but if I'm not allowed to speak, to defend myself or my family, to live a free life, then its not really peace, is it?
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Longtime reader · 10 months ago
    Michael,

    Could you please rewrite without using "paradigm"?

    Good article, terrible word.

    Agreed there are many forces at work, both direct and indirect, that seek to reduce or destroy the US as a military or economic superpower, or as a country run as the founding fathers designed.

    As with any conflict, ask who benefits. Monetarily or from some power-enhancing perspective. The list is very long. Who are the pawns and who are the Kings?

    Side questions: What was the disposition of the 200,000 flags from the mall?

    How long is the lead time for such an enormous order? Were they borrowed from somewhere else? (cemetaries come to mind)

    Don't think anyone carries 200K flags in stock, but could be wrong. Maybe check Alibaba and ask for a few quotes...

    Who made the flags (US, Chinese or other mfg?)

    Who places such an order? Park Service? Inauguration committee? Political parties?

    When was the flag order placed? Think they started placing flags on the 18th so someone had to decide that was what they were going to do, secure or have funding authorized, get quotes, select vendor, actual production if flags, packing and shipping of flags (couple of 40' CONEX boxes?), transportation to site, etc. Logistics types chime in with any others...

    Similar questions for what appeared (at least in the media) to be a whole lotta fences. Did they look new or like they were stored inside? That's a considerable amount of inventory for any commercial fence company to carry. Somebody could probably figure out how many panels if they had absolutely nothing better to do with their time. A warehouse-full? Several warehouses full? Guess one could see it after 9/11 as some sort of stockpile thing.

    Timelines can occasionally be interesting.

    Hope for some peaceful resolution, if even a no or very low-conflict internal cold war. Nobody wants to see the alternative, well, except for rival powers or Machiavellian exploiters.

    Thanks for all your writings over the years.
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Babaloogats · 10 months ago
    Forgive me, but although I understand the concepts, I can make better sense out of Kipling than I can of what you wrote. I feel like I was reading Jerry Maguire's mission statement. Have a drink and get some rest. Regards
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Matt Bracken · 10 months ago
    Thanks for sharing your thought processes.
    Deeply appreciated.
    Great respect.
    D.O.L.
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Matt Bracken · 10 months ago
    Michael, I didn't notice "Three Hat Man" in those electronic wanted posters.

    For those who don't know, he's the guy who broke out the window that Ashli Babbitt climbed through.
    He appears to have tradecraft training, and he appears to be colluding with at least one other in that group, the man wearing the yellow Gadsden flag in front, who handed him the black kevlar helmet used by Three Hats Man to knock out the window.

    I consider it extremely interesting that HM has not been identified nor arrested, and he's also not on the wanted posters either. This makes me wonder if he had a pre-existing arrangement (via numerous cutouts naturally) with federal law enforcement, as an agent provocateur.

    It also seems extremely implausible and non-random that the "players" outside the glass doors rapidly found their way through the Capitol labyrinth to those glass doors.

    My working theory is that A.B. was sized up outside as a "Q" true believer, and she was turned into a patsy by the possible agents-provacateurs by telling her they were on "a secret mission from Q." I know some "true believers" in Q, and they would be extremely susceptible to such suggestions.

    It's notable that after HM knocked out the window, (It did not shatter, it fell forward in one piece) he stepped aside for A.B. to enter. She was shot, and HM immediately exfiltrated, pausing on the stairs to change his outer appearance with items going into and out of his ruck, that he took off at that moment for that purpose, a clear indication of purpose and tradecraft training.

    And Three Hat Man is not the FBI's "most wanted?" Why not?
    It's "the dog that didn't bark."
    • This commment is unpublished.
      Matt Bracken · 10 months ago
      I don't know why this program changed #three hat man to "heart HM," it should read #Three HM above.
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Kurt · 10 months ago
    Check out this little gem:

    https://www.salon.com/2021/01/16/longtime-gop-insider-mike-lofgren-on-his-former-party-going-easy-on-these-people-will-not-work/

    I think Michael's instincts about our near future are spot on
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Miss Wells · 10 months ago
    I live in California and what I'm witnessing now continues to blow my mind. Newsom is re-opening the state as we experience the highest number of positive tests and hospital bed occupancy since the outbreak. We've been on near full lock-down since last March and the insanity and poverty level is higher than normal! Granted, if not for Trump's tireless dedication to Warp-speed, we'd be looking at a completely different scenario. It got me thinking about war. It all seems to make sense now.... Trump kept us out of war for 4 years and made significant peace treaties abroad, just a fact. Because of that fact, CNN, Dems and big tech HAD to create the civil war we've seen, "under his watch" while simultaneously doing everything they could to crash the thriving economy he created. Am I right? Is the left that evil? I know Don Lemon is, but the lot of them???

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